Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

• XMR formed a descending channel pattern. 
• Investors were strongly bearish on XMR as Open Interest (OI) fluctuated. 

Monero’s [XMR] press time plunge was likely because of an increasing divergence in key technical indicators. XMR dropped by over 6% in the past seven days, as per Coingecko’s data.

Read Monero [XMR] Price Prediction 2023-24

At press time, its market was still weak as bears had more leverage. However, the asset was approaching a crucial support level. 

The $163.8 support level: Can it hold the drop?

The increasing RSI (Relative Strength Index) and volume divergence from mid-January signaled February’s price correction. The RSI and volume dropped while the XMR price surged, painting a bull trap ripe for a correction. So far, XMR has fallen from $186 towards the end of January to $165 at the time of writing. 

Monero could drop further and break below the crucial $163.8 support level. However, the drop could be checked by the $157 or $154 support levels. 

But bulls could attempt a recovery if the $163.8 support holds, invalidating the bearish bias described above. The rebound could target the upper boundary of the descending channel. However, traders can only make long entry positions if a break above and retest on the upper channel’s boundary is confirmed. Such an upswing would target the $180 zone. 

Nevertheless, the market weakened further, as shown by the dropping RSI and fluctuating volume (OBV). Therefore, bulls may have difficulty regaining control at the $163.8 level.

Investors were bearish on XMR as OI fluctuated

According to Santiment data, investors were strongly bearish on XMR, as shown by the negative sentiment. In addition, the demand for the asset in the derivatives market has been fluctuating, limiting its strong uptrend momentum in the past few days/weeks. 

If the fluctuation in demand continues, XMR could face an extended price correction and a devaluation below the $163.8 price level. 

Is your portfolio green? Check out the XMR Profit Calculator

In addition, the open interest rate data by Coinglass further reinforces XMR fluctuations. More money moved from XMR’s futures market around mid-January. Afterwards, the OI fluctuated, undermining a strong uptrend momentum or recovery. 

Although the dropping OI momentum reduced at press time, a convincing price recovery could follow BTC’s bullish price action. Therefore, investors and traders should monitor the king coin price movements. 

• GMX moves to Arbitrum, threatening Avalanche.
• Decreasing sentiment, declining TVL & NFT trades for Avalanche.

According to the latest data from Artemis, the majority of GMX‘s activity has shifted from Avalanche [AVAX] to Arbitrum. This shift has raised concerns about the potential impact on Avalanche, as GMX is currently the largest perp by market cap and outperforms many of its competitors in terms of Total Value Locked (TVL).

Is your portfolio green? Check out the Avalanche Profit Calculator

Avalanche gets impacted

On one hand, the negative sentiment surrounding Avalanche, as indicated by Santiment’s data, suggested that the overall outlook of the AVAX token in the crypto community was negative. This caused a decline in the network’s growing TVL, which stood at $970.16 million at press time.

Additionally, the overall volume of the AVAX token declined. According to Santiment’s data, the overall volume for AVAX fell from 1.2 billion to 3.14 million. The number of NFT trades on the network also fell, suggesting an overall lack of interest.

However, there were some positive developments as well, one of them being the decreasing volatility of the AVAX token. A decline in volatility could attract some investors who are seeking stability for their portfolios.

How much are 1,10,100 AVAX worth today?

It’s also worth noting that despite the negative conditions for Avalanche, the number of stakers on the network grew by 21.5% in the last month, according to Staking Rewards. The number of stakers on the network was 65,988 at the time of writing. This suggested that there is still interest in the network, though its future remained uncertain.

It’s important to note that GMX’s move from Avalanche to Arbitrum could be due to various reasons, including the increasing popularity of the Arbitrum network and its ability to handle larger volumes of transactions efficiently. This shift could pose a threat to Avalanche, but it’s also possible that the network could recover and continue to grow.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

• The higher timeframe market structure remained strongly bullish.
• The $0.4-$0.42 is an important region of resistance- but ADA is likely to push higher.

Cardano [ADA] bounced from $0.38 to reach the $0.4 level of resistance over the past three days. Its technical structure remained bullish on the one-day timeframe – a move above $0.4 and subsequent retest could be a buying opportunity.

Is your portfolio green? Check the Cardano Profit Calculator

The increase in whale transactions saw a significant increase after 3 February. This raised concerns that buyer dominance was weakening.

Any pumps into the $0.42 area will be to take profits on

Cardano has seen a remarkable run so far. A jump above $0.31 and the subsequent retest of $0.32 saw the support on the daily market structure decisively broken. The bias remained bullish, although the RSI continued to drop lower to show weakened bullish momentum.

This was because ADA encountered a stern band of resistance around $0.4. It is an important higher timeframe horizontal level. The $0.425 level acted as support from May to October 2022. Beneath it, the $0.4 and $0.376 levels also acted as important support and resistance levels in October and November.

How much is 1, 10, 100 ADA worth today?

Therefore, ADA bulls late to the party must recognize that the meat of the move upward is finished. Lower timeframe scalps within the $0.4-$0.42 region is possible. Longer-term buyers can wait for the flip of $0.42 to support before bidding and must be ready to cut the trade on a drop below $0.4.

The rising OBV meant some demand was present behind ADA. Above $0.42, $0.51 and $0.6 are the next high timeframe levels to watch out for.

Sentiment has been lukewarm in February

Weighted sentiment fell below the zero mark as February 2023 began and hasn’t recovered since. The MVRV ratio (30-day) also tumbled, but the price did not see a significant sell-off. This hinted that near-term holders might have finished booking profits, and selling pressure could soon abate.

The development activity was unaffected by the higher price swing, which should encourage long-term holders. The age-consumed metric saw a swift spike in early February when ADA pulled back from $0.413.