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Litecoin [LTC]: What does this metric tell us about miners’ incentive to sell

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Litecoin [LTC]: What does this metric tell us about miners’ incentive to sell

Litecoin (LTC)’s bullish activity has risen since the start of the month. It managed to recover back above $60 after ending August on a bearish note. On the contrary, however, new observations seem to indicate that it might be about to experience another slip below the $60-level.

Litecoin is one of the few cryptocurrencies that operates on a proof of work consensus mechanism. Miner flows have so far proved to be a significant sentiment driver influencing price action. Any incentive for miners to sell would thus act as a useful indicator of potential incoming bearish pressure.

The Puell multiple is one of the indicators that may help identify instances where miners are incentivized to sell. This, because the metric indicates the level of miner profitability at any given point.

Litecoin’s Puell multiple just concluded last week with an uptick to its highest value in the last 30 days.

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Source: Glassnode

The high Puell multiple for LTC indicated that miner profitability is currently high and this may encourage them to sell.

Litecoin’s dormancy has also been near the lower monthly range, with the same registering some activity in the last 3 days. Interestingly, this coincided with a resistance level retest after last week’s rally.

Source: TradingView

Litecoin’s 4-hour chart highlighted another reason for a potential upcoming retracement. It briefly became overbought after a solid bull run in the last 4 days. Furthermore, the MFI indicator suggested that it has already been seeing some sell pressure.

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LTC’s on-chain metrics further validated the increasing sell pressure expectations.

The MVRV ratio has kicked off the new week on a pivot, confirming that profit-taking is happening. It also seemed to reveal reduced profitability for buyers entering the market near the recent top.

Source: Santiment

The sharp drop in the realized cap metric is confirmation that a substantial amount of buying pressure is taking place near the recent top.

Conclusion

The aforementioned Litecoin-centric observations highlighted the potential for a sizeable short-term retracement towards the start of the week. Traders should also consider opposing potential outcomes, such as the likelihood that the new week may bring forth a bullish sentiment shift. This would delay any potential downside, giving way to the bulls.

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Litecoin’s latest uptick has so far demonstrated friction near the $64 short-term support. This can be viewed as evidence that LTC might not be ready for a breakout on the charts.

Michael is a full-time journalist at AMBCrypto. He has 5 years of experience in finance and forex and more than two years as a writer in the crypto and blockchain segments. Michael’s writing at AMBCrypto is primarily focused on cryptocurrency market news and technical analysis. His interests include motorcycles and exotic cars.

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This Tether update may finally bear some good results in the weeks to come

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This Tether update may finally bear some good results in the weeks to come

Tether, the firm behind USDT, the largest stablecoin made some key changes to its asset reserves. On 3 October, Chief Technology Officer (CTO) Paolo Ardoino informed the Tether community about the changes to its portfolio.

#tether portfolio update. Tether as of 30 September 2022 holds ~58.1% of its assets in US t-bills. Up from 43.5% on June 30 2022.
CP exposure is

— Paolo Ardoino 🕳🥊 (@paoloardoino) October 3, 2022

A word from the CTO

 As per the Twitter announcement, Tether increased its Treasury Bill holdings all the way up to 58.1%, as compared to 43.5% in June earlier this year. Furthermore, the company’s exposure to commercial paper dramatically witnessed a dramatic drop. The figure accounted for less than $50 million of the total $67.9 billion. 

When asked about an update in the transparency report, Ardoino stated that although the usual deadline was 45 days, the hiring of a new auditor should witness a reduced timeline.

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A long-awaited move

This reduction was in line with Tether’s statement made in June, where the company revealed it plans to completely eliminate commercial paper from its reserves. Additionally, Tether repeatedly claimed that it is 100% backed, which works well for its stability since stablecoins need to be guaranteed by assets equivalent or greater than their total market capitalization.

Commercial paper is an unsecured, short-term debt instrument issued by corporations. In contrast to this, Treasury Bills were a safer option. This was because that they are backed by the U.S Treasury Department and mature within one year. Furthermore, an independent report published by BDO Italia earlier this year noted an interesting fact. Commercial papers along with certificates of deposits, made up over $8 billion of Tether’s reserves that collateralized USDT.

Tether’s efforts to stabilize USDT reflected since March 2022 and the issuer brought the exposure to commercial paper down to $50 million. Furthermore, in addition to commercial papers and Treasury Bills, Tether’s reserves contained various other assets. These included Corporate Bonds, Funds and Precious Metals (5.25%), Secured Loans (6.77%), and other investments including digital tokens (8.36%).

Tether in the news

The company also made significant efforts to increase the transparency surrounding its dollar reserves and backing. In August, Tether announced that the monthly proof-of-reserve reports will be conducted by popular accounting firm BDO Italia. BDO would also conduct quarterly attestations for the firm. 

On 19 September, the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York had ordered Tether to prove 1-to-1 backing of USDT. Furthermore, as per the court order, Tether was to provide “general ledgers, balance sheets, income statements, cash-flow statements, and profit and loss statements.”

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According to data from CoinMarketCap, USDT was trading at $1 at press time. The market capitalization stood at $67.9 billion, with a 24 hour trading volume of $41.9 billion.

Ser Suzuki Shillsalot has 8 years of experience working as a Senior Investigative journalist at The SpamBot Times. He completed a two-hour course in journalism from a popular YouTube video and was one of the few to give it a positive rating. Shillsalot’s writings mainly focus on shilling his favourite cryptos and trolling anyone who disagrees with him. P.S – There is a slight possibility the profile pic is AI-generated. You see, this account is primarily used by our freelancer writers and they wish to remain anonymous. Wait, are they Satoshi? :/

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MATIC – The how and why of this buying opportunity

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MATIC – The how and why of this buying opportunity

Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice.

  • MATIC sees a surge past a key resistance following an announcement
  • Price action needs to develop further but a buying opportunity could arise 

The native token of Polygon has posted rapid advances on the price charts over the past couple of days. This bullish move came at a time when Robinhood announced a partnership with Polygon as the trading app looked to move into the Web3 space. MATIC was able to zoom past the resistance at $0.78, but will a retest of the same offer another buying opportunity?


Here’s AMBCrypto’s Price Prediction for MATIC for 2023-24


MATIC clears liquidity pocket, further gains in sight

Source: MATIC/USDT on TradingView

In yellow, a range was highlighted for MATIC. It extended from $0.72 to $1.03, with the mid-point at $0.877. The price has traded within this region since mid-July, which added to the significance of the range.

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The RSI climbed back above neutral 50 after spending a good portion of September under the line. This suggested that the bearish momentum had flipped bullish. However, this might not signal that a move to or past $35 was on the cards.

At press time, the $0.788-zone was a liquidity pocket, one where a bullish order block could form over the next few days. Thereafter, a revisit to this zone could offer a buying opportunity.

MATIC could rise to $0.88 and $0.95 after such a retest, which can be used as take-profit levels.

Lack of inflows spotted this past week

The inflows chart revealed that inflows have fallen over the month of September, compared to August. In July, the amount of MATIC moving onto exchanges was much greater, yet the price did rally from $0.5 to $1 throughout that month.

Overall, the fact that inflows were somewhat subdued in September raised a bullish question. Could whales be accumulating MATIC? Even if the answer is yes, that might not stop the asset from sliding beneath the range lows in the event that Bitcoin plunges past $18.5k.

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Patience would be the key for longer-term traders and investors in MATIC. $0.788 is a key level and it could present a buying opportunity over the next week or two. This would require Bitcoin to remain near the $20k-mark or even rally past the $20.8k-resistance.

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Can MakerDAO’s latest development drive MKR towards its next bull rally

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Can MakerDAO’s latest development drive MKR towards its next bull rally

MKR holders that aped in towards the end of September are pleased with their decision considering the healthy run-up in the last two weeks. The Maker DAO native token earned its way into the list of top gainers after a 43% upside from its September lows.

MKR’s current upside was aided by Maker DAO’s stabilizing total value locked (TVL). The latter peaked at $19.75 billion at the start of December 2021 but has fluctuated since then. It went into free fall from April as seen in the DefiLlama chart below.

Source: DefiLlama

The TVL outflows were exasperated by FUD triggered by the LUNA and UST crash in May. This outcome reflects the impact of the bull and bear markets on the total value locked in lending pools and liquidity protocols.

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Protocols, bridges, and lending pools require a lot of liquidity to function.

Unfortunately, unexpected market events that trigger a market crash tend to cause liquidity pool outflows. The UST and LUNA crash in May are ideal examples of instances affecting the protocols’ total value locked (TVL).

Running from the bears

Maker DAO’s TVL took a severe hit as the market crash in Q2 forced many investors to pull their funds. Fortunately, the protocol’s TVL has been stabilizing in the last few weeks.

So much so that it started off this week as Ethereum’s largest protocol by TVL.

Maker DAO’s TVL assessment reflects some on-chain observations. For example, MKR’s supply in smart contracts tumbled from a 6-month peak of 45.52% (of MKR’s circulating supply) at the end of April. It fell as low as 39.38% by mid-June.

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Source: Glassnode

Meanwhile, most of MKR’s supply was still held by the top 1% of addresses. Unlike most of the aforementioned metrics, the supply of top 1% addresses was the only metric that registered an inverse performance in the last six months.

Top addresses increased their balances from as low as 95.63% to as high as 95.96% during the six-month period.

Additionally, the supply on the top 1% of addresses confirmed that whales took advantage of the situation and increased their balances during the turmoil.

MKR’s price traded at $0.81 at press time, a significant recovery from its $0.31 2022 low. It was up by 7.81% at press time since the start of October.

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Source: TradingView

Both the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicated higher strength in the last few days. Investors should also expect some selling pressure ahead as the price approaches overbought territory.

Michael is a full-time journalist at AMBCrypto. He has 5 years of experience in finance and forex and more than two years as a writer in the crypto and blockchain segments. Michael’s writing at AMBCrypto is primarily focused on cryptocurrency market news and technical analysis. His interests include motorcycles and exotic cars.

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