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This analyst decodes the mystery behind Celsius’ crippling meltdown

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This analyst decodes the mystery behind Celsius’ crippling meltdown

It is true the bear market is raining down on the entire cryptocurrency market. But the devastation has been more painful for some. Celsius is certainly a leading highlight of the crippling crypto institutions that is rumored to be edging towards insolvency.

An overheated matter

Celsius had more than $8 billion lent out to clients and $12 billion in assets under management by May 2022, according to the company. However, rumors about insolvency started spreading after it announced the freezing of account transactions.

Celsius announced on 12 June evening that withdrawals and transfers between accounts will be frozen, citing ‘extreme market conditions’. This move saw over $11.8 billion in customer assets being frozen. Five days in and the assets are still not released amid a huge crypto market turmoil.

CEO Alex Mashinsky even confirmed that exposure to the Terra debacle was ‘small’ after his firm’s early exit.

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So where did it all go wrong for Celsius?

The major error appears to be the investing customers’ ETH in Lido Finance as staked Ethereum or stETH. However, the crypto crash led to the massive dumping of stETH and 1 stETH was no longer redeemable for one ether. This jeopardized the position of Celsius.

“Celsius promised customers between 6% and 8% returns on ether deposits. It had at least $450 million in stETH in its primary DeFi wallet, but likely has more stored elsewhere,” according to Andrew Thurman, Analyst at Nansen.

The clock is ticking for Celsius right now but a prominent analyst has a different theory for its crisis.

More twists in this tale

Crypto analyst “Plan C” alleges a different theory for the Celsius crisis. The analyst believes that two key players namely, FTX and Alameda Research, conspired to the demise of Celsius. He cut open the wounds of the Terra crash when TFL CEO Do Kwon was looking for bailouts. CEO Mashinsky confirmed in a tweet that Celsius is not a part of it.

While Celsius got out, FTX and Alameda were stuck in the Luna ‘bailout’. As per ‘Plan C’, they lost huge amounts of money holding “UST and locked Luna bags”.

10/25 – #Celsius got out the door first, suffered the lowest loses and didn’t want any part of the bailout.

Stuck holding the #UST and (locked) #Luna bags, losing $100’s of millions of dollars each…

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✔️ Alameda (FTX) 🦈

✔️ 3 Arrows Capital

✔️ Galaxy Digital

✔️ Jump Capital

— Plan©️ (@TheRealPlanC) June 16, 2022

The analyst then regards the track record of Alameda Research as evidence of potential wrong-doings. In the same thread, there is on-chain data claiming Alameda Research did swap around 50,000 stETH to ETH. This liquidation started piling pressure on Celsius and eventually, market volatility took charge.

Source: Plan C

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Fast forward to today, we now have a crypto market at one of its lowest points.

Kanav is a journalist at AMBCrypto. He has a Masters in Media and International Conflict and is interested in areas of digital society, crypto developments in the political sphere and the socio-cultural impact of a crypto-society.

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Alameda

WAVES of drama & conspiracy: What happens when a stablecoin stops being stable

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WAVES of drama & conspiracy: What happens when a stablecoin stops being stable

Stablecoins are meant to be. . .well, stable, but one such asset was bleeding out its value at the time of writing and may never be the same again. However, that’s only the first act. Behind this ex-stablecoin is a floundering altcoin project, some serious accusations leveled against a crypto billionaire, and claims of “b*llshit.”

Here’s what you need to know to untangle the mess.

Some 80’s style nostalgia – or not

Just a while back, Neutrino USD [USDN] was a lesser known stablecoin on Coin Market Cap. However, at press time, all eyes were on USDN as it slipped down to $0.8614, and plunged by 10.77% in the past 24 hours. In the last week, the asset has dropped by 13.76%.

Not your everyday crypto event, to say the least.

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At press time, around 1,549 USDN holders had made about 47,631 transfers, according to Etherscan.

What led to this carnage? The story is still developing, but one cause could be the USDN currency being de-linked from its peg. This, again, could be the result of a proposal on Vires Finance, a decentralized liquidity protocol for Waves.

More evidence is needed to confirm what really happened behind the scenes. However, Vires Finance leads us into the second act of this drama.

WAVES needs a lifeguard

It might not be news to you that WAVES enjoyed an impressive upriver swim, swelling by more than 250% since 21 February. However, WAVES’ price has been falling steeply since the end of March. At the time of writing, the 37th biggest coin by market cap was worth $41.86. This was after falling by a dramatic 17.11% in the past 24 hours. Before this, WAVES had been impressing traders with a weekly rally of more than 25%.

While possibly connected to USDN’s own fall from grace, Waves blockchain founder Sasha Ivanov added more fuel to the fire by blaming the crypto trading firm Alameda Research for price manipulation. Ivanov claimed that the manipulation and a FUD campaign led to panic-selling and a drop in price.

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Get your popcorn ready: @AlamedaResearch manipulates $waves price and organizes FUD campaigns to trigger panic selling.

I hope I caught your attention. Follow me.

— Sasha Ivanov 🌊 (1 ➝ 2) (@sasha35625) April 3, 2022

If Alameda Research sounds familiar to you, that’s probably because FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried manages his assets through the firm. For his part, Ivanov claimed that an Alameda Research-linked account on Vires Finance was trying to short WAVES by sending it to Binance and thus reducing the price.

So what do we have here: They were the first to push the price on FTX, but after the position was closed with profit the subsequent short trade the opened failed, because the price kept going up. Borrowing and FUD had to bring the price down and make the short profitable.

— Sasha Ivanov 🌊 (1 ➝ 2) (@sasha35625) April 3, 2022

How did Bankman-Fried respond to these accusations? Four words was all the FTX CEO needed.

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obv bullshit conspiracy theory

— SBF (@SBF_FTX) April 3, 2022

Hurts like a beach

Whether Ivanov is basking in victory or hours away from being served a defamation notice is still a mystery, but one thing that’s clear is WAVES’ downfall.

Volumes had been spiking along with the coin’s dazzling rally, but went down by billions as more than $10 was chopped off the price.

This is a developing story. . .

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