Economist Nouriel Roubini, a crypto skeptic known as “Dr. Doom,” is developing a tokenized asset intended to be a more resilient U.S. dollar. “Our goal is to create a global store of value … This is something akin to a substitute for Treasuries, or a digital asset that has payment features in it.”
Nouriel Roubini’s Tokenized USD Alternative
Economist Nouriel Roubini revealed this week that he is developing a suite of financial products, including a tokenized asset, called the United Sovereign Governance Gold Optimized Dollar (USG), to act as a more resilient dollar against high inflation, climate change, and civil unrest, Bloomberg reported.
Roubini is a longtime crypto skeptic who called bitcoin “the mother of all bubbles.” He teaches at New York University’s Stern School of Business and has his own economic consulting firm called Roubini Macro Associates. Famed for predicting the housing bubble crash of 2007-2008, his gloomy predictions have earned him the nickname “Dr. Doom” in the media.
Dr. Doom is working with a Dubai-based real estate investment and management firm, Atlas Capital Team, to create the new products. He joined the company two years ago and is currently its chief economist.
Roubini explained that the dollar could be in jeopardy as the U.S. “prints too much money and adversaries start de-dollarizing.” He detailed:
We recognize that America’s dollar reserve currency could be at risk and are working to create a new instrument that’s effectively a more resilient dollar.
His plan came as a surprise to the crypto community since he has been one of Bitcoin’s most vocal critics for many years.
Roubini also elaborated on his plan on Twitter Monday. “The digital rail will have super strict AML/KYC features so it will be a digital asset-backed security with serious ESG [Environmental, Social, and Governance] features — ie sustainable real estate. So the digital option is only one of the three and it is an end point not a starting point,” he tweeted.
The economist further detailed:
First, USG starts as a hedge against inflation, debasement of fiat currencies, financial crisis, political and geopolitical risk and environmental risks. That is the core idea not its digital rail.
He added: “Second, the implementation of USG is first an index on which you can write TRS [total return swap], then a fund or ETF [exchange-traded fund]. And then finally and eventually as a security token backed not by vaporware like most junk in crypto but rather real/financial assets so you know at all times its market value/NAV.”
The new dollar would be backed by “a mix of short-term U.S. Treasuries, gold, and U.S. property (in the form of real estate investment trusts, or REITs),” the economist noted, adding that they are likely to be less affected by climate change.
Atlas co-founder and CEO Reza Bundy opined:
Our goal is to create a global store of value … This is something akin to a substitute for Treasuries, or a digital asset that has payment features in it.
Roubini expects his new product to appeal to large investors who are looking for an alternative to the usual mix of stocks and bonds. He noted that sovereign wealth funds, pension funds, and even central banks that hold large reserves of dollar-denominated assets may be interested.
What do you think about Roubini’s tokenized dollar alternative project? Let us know in the comments section below.
A student of Austrian Economics, Kevin found Bitcoin in 2011 and has been an evangelist ever since. His interests lie in Bitcoin security, open-source systems, network effects and the intersection between economics and cryptography.
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TA: Bitcoin Price Moves Higher In Range, $30.6K Still Presents Resistance
Bitcoin remained strong above the $28,500 support against the US Dollar. BTC is rising, but it must clear $28,500 to move into a positive zone.
- Bitcoin started a fresh increase after it tested the $28,500 support zone.
- The price is now trading above the $29,500 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
- There was break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $29,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
- The pair could continue to move higher towards the key $30,600 resistance zone.
Bitcoin Price Forms Triple Bottom
Bitcoin price extended decline below the $29,500 support zone. However, the bulls were active near the main $28,500 support zone.
A fresh base was formed near $28,600 and the price started a fresh increase. There was a clear move above the $29,200 and $29,500 resistance levels. The price surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $30,630 swing high to $28,635 low.
Besides, there was break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $29,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin price is now trading above the $29,500 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $30,160 level. It is near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $30,630 swing high to $28,635 low. The next major resistance is near the $30,600 level. A clear move above the $30,600 resistance level might start a steady increase. In the stated case, the price may perhaps clear the $31,200 resistance zone.
Fresh Decline in BTC?
If bitcoin fails to clear the $30,600 resistance zone, it could start another decline. An immediate support on the downside is near the $29,600 level.
The first major support is near the $29,500 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. A downside break below the $29,500 support might send the price further lower. The main support is still near the $28,500 level, where the bulls are likely to take a strong stand.
Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $29,500, followed by $28,500.
Major Resistance Levels – $30,150, $30,500 and $30,600.
Bitcoin Rejects Downside At $29k, Here’s Why This Is Good
Today’s Bitcoin price analysis is positive, as a dip to $29,000 was met with solid support and rejection, indicating that additional downside is unlikely. As a result, BTC/USD is expected to rise further in the next days, most likely above the $31,000 resistance level.
Naturally, the psychological price of $30,000 for Bitcoin implies a solid purchase zone. We’ll look at why Bitcoin’s recent consolidation around $30,000 is a promising sign of future price increases.
Bitcoin Fall 57% From ATH
Bitcoin prices have fallen from a high of $69,600 to a current level of $29,350. The entire cryptocurrency market was destroyed by this 57 percent price decrease. As a result of the decreasing prices, a snowball effect began to occur, causing other crypto projects to be hit and sink even more.
The price range of $30,000 for Bitcoin is critical. Many large corporations bought Bitcoins at that price. Furthermore, as shown in Figure 2, Bitcoin prices historically consolidated around those precise positions before beginning an advance.
BTC/USD 1-day chart showing the consolidation area. Source: TradingView
For more than a week, bitcoin has been trading sideways, with the $31,000 mark acting as solid resistance. Meanwhile, significant support has been established at $29,000, signaling a clear consolidation region that must be overcome before the market can continue to develop.
The previous high was set at the same level as the previous low, signaling market hesitation. As a result, the recent $29,000 test could lead to another retest of the resistance.
Related Reading | Eight Consecutive Red Closes: Is Bitcoin Headed For A Recovery?
Will Consolidation occur?
If BTC prices happen to drop below $28,000 again, the next support area would be around $20,000. However, it is more likely that prices will increase from this Bitcoin price consolidation phase. The first target is around $35,000, or a 17% increase in prices. After that, prices should target the next psychological price of $40,000. From there, we might see a slight adjustment lower, but in the long term, prices should break higher. This would mark the official start of the uptrend.
In order for bitcoin’s price to establish a foothold at the bottom in the short term, according to Josh Olszewicz, head of research at investment management Valkyrie, volatility must reduce.
“We can look at things like the 200-week moving average, which is around $22,000. We can look at realized price, which is the average price of coins that have moved on-chain, which is around $23,800,” Olszewicz said on CoinDesk TV’s “First Mover” program. “This [movement to hit bottom] will probably take at least all of Q3, perhaps Q4 as well, if it were to happen this year.”
Other variables, like as the US Federal Reserve boosting interest rates, are also influencing bitcoin’s market performance, according to Olszewicz.
He speculated that institutional investors may be in the forefront of the downturn. The average size of on-chain transactions, according to Olszewicz, is in the tens of thousands of BTC.
Nonetheless, according to Olszewicz, ordinary traders continue to influence market movement more than institutional investors. Those learning about cryptocurrencies are now jumping in during this bear market to “test the waters” and “see if they can survive,” according to him.
Suggested Reading | Ripple (XRP) Plunges To $0.43 With Bears In Full Swing
Featured image from iStock photo, chart from TradingView.com
Investors May Expect Downside For Bitcoin And Ethereum Market For The Next 3 Months
The crypto markets have accepted the depegging of UST and the subsequent downward spiral of LUNA, both of which impacted the price of Bitcoin and the entire digital asset spectrum. According to a recent report by the Glassnode team, the Bitcoin market has been trading lower for eight weeks, making it the ‘longest continuous series of red weekly candles in history.’
Even Ethereum, the most popular altcoin, painted a similar picture. Bearish fluctuations damage returns and profit margins directly or indirectly.
To make matters worse, derivative markets forecast shows more declines in the coming three to six months.
Derivative Markets Hint At More Pain For Bitcoin
According to derivative markets, the prognosis for the next three to six months remains fearful of further fall. On-chain, the report stated that blockspace demand for Ethereum and Bitcoin has dropped to multi-year lows, and the rate of ETH burning via EIP1559 has reached an all-time low.
Glassnode calculated that the demand side will continue to face headwinds due to poor price performance, uncertain derivatives pricing, and extremely low demand for block-space on both Bitcoin and Ethereum.
The report explains:
Looking on-chain, we can see that both Ethereum and Bitcoin blockspace demand has fallen to multi-year lows, and the rate of burning of ETH via EIP1559 is now at an all-time-low.
Coupling poor price performance, fearful derivatives pricing, and exceedingly lacklustre demand for block-space on both Bitcoin and Ethereum, we can deduce that the demand side is likely to continue seeing headwinds.
Both Bitcoin and Ethereum’s price performance over the last 12 months has been disappointing. Long-term CAGR rates for Bitcoin and Ethereum have been impacted as a result of this.
BTC, the largest cryptocurrency, moved in a roughly 4-year bull/bear cycle, which was frequently accompanied with halving events. When looking at long-term returns, the CAGR has dropped from almost 200 percent in 2015 to less than 50 percent as of this writing.
Related Reading | New Data Shows China Still Controls 21% Of The Global Bitcoin Mining Hashrate
Furthermore, Bitcoin had a negative 30% return over the short term, implying that it corrected by 1% every day on average. This negative return for Bitcoin is very similar to prior bear market cycles.
When it comes to ETH, the altcoin performed far worse than BTC. Ethereum’s monthly return profile revealed a depressing picture of -34.9 percent. Ethereum likewise appears to be seeing diminishing rewards in the long run.
Furthermore, during the previous 12 months, the 4-year CAGR for both assets has dropped from 100% to only 36% for BTC. Also, ETH is up 28 percent per year, emphasizing the severity of this bear.
To make matters worse, the derivative market warned of future market declines. Near-term uncertainty and downside risk continue to be priced into options markets, particularly over the next three to six months. In reality, during the market sell-off last week, implied volatility increased significantly.
Total crypto market cap stands at $1.2 Trillion. Source: TradingView
The Glassnode analysis concluded by stating that the present bear market has taken its toll on crypto traders and investors. Furthermore, the Glassnode team emphasized that downturn markets frequently worsen before improving. However, ‘bear markets do have a tendency of ending’ and ‘bear markets author the bull that follows,’ so there is some light at the end of the tunnel.
Related Reading | TA: Bitcoin Price Stuck In Key Range, Why Dips Might Be Limited
Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from Glassnode, and TradingView.com
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