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July’s CPI Report Shows US Inflation Cooling — Critics Say ‘US Government’s Formula Understates The Actual Rise In Prices’

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July’s CPI Report Shows US Inflation Cooling — Critics Say ‘US Government’s Formula Understates The Actual Rise In Prices’

After last June’s inflation report published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) reflected a 9.1% year-over-year increase, July’s CPI data has come in lower with a year-over-year increase of 8.5%. Economists polled by media publications estimated that July’s CPI data would print 8.7%, however, July’s core CPI, the government’s broadest measure of inflation, remained the same as June.

CPI Report Shows Inflation in the US May Have Peaked, Stocks, Cryptos, and Precious Metals Jump Higher

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq, S&P 500, and NYSE indexes all jumped significantly higher in value after the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics published July’s inflation report. Additionally, precious metals and cryptocurrencies saw a rise on Wednesday as well, as bitcoin (BTC) jumped over 4% higher, gold increased by 0.35%, and silver jumped 1.43% in value against the U.S. dollar.

Inflation as measured by headline CPI increased 0.0 percent month-over-month in July, well below its elevated June monthly rate of 1.3 percent. Monthly core inflation in July fell to 0.3 percent. 1/ pic.twitter.com/6bVTZq7m1W

— Council of Economic Advisers (@WhiteHouseCEA) August 10, 2022

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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for July 2022 said: “The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in July on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 1.3 percent in June. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.5 percent before seasonal adjustment.” The inflation report adds:

The gasoline index fell 7.7 percent in July and offset increases in the food and shelter indexes, resulting in the all items index being unchanged over the month.

Bankrate’s chief financial analyst Greg McBride told Yahoo Finance reporter Alexandra Semenova that the gas price drop was good for the economy, but it doesn’t fix inflationary pressures. “The drop in gasoline prices has been very welcome, but that doesn’t solve the inflation problem,” McBride said. “Consumers are getting a break at the gas pump, but not at the grocery store.” Moreover, many people have issues with the way the Bureau of Labor Statistics calculates CPI.

Truflation CEO Says True Inflation Is Running at 9.6% Today, Schiffgold Author Claims Government Formula Understates Real Inflation Numbers

Data from shadowstats.com’s alternative inflation charts show inflation is much higher than the reported numbers published by the U.S. government. The CEO of Truflation, Stefan Rust, says the country’s inflation figures are not accurate and he believes true inflation is running at 9.6% today.

Shadowstats.com’s alternative inflation (CPI) chart on August 10, 2022.

The company’s Truflation Index indicates that at the time of writing, the rate is 9.61%, which is still down from the 10.5% the Truflation Index recorded in July. Further, it is still down from the 11.4% annual peak the Truflation Index recorded in March.

Truflation Index on August 10, 2022.

“First, it was transitory. Next, it was manageable. Now, it’s a problem the US is attempting to tackle with a whole new piece of legislation as inflation continues to run at scorching 40-year highs,” Rust said in emailed comments sent to Bitcoin.com News. “The latest data released today provides some welcome relief, with growth in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowing to 8.5% in the year to July thanks largely to falling fuel prices. Notably, though, month on month prices remained the same as increases in rent and food costs — which have the largest impact on poorer citizens — offset declining prices at the pump.” Rust continued:

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This means Americans are still struggling to make ends meet as they watch the value of their money erode at over 8% per year. As bad as all this seems, however, the true inflation picture differs from the above. Today, the Truflation index is showing that US inflation is running at 9.6%. This is down from 10.5% in July, and an annual peak of 11.4% in March, reflecting the same downward trend that the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) figures suggest. However, it remains over 100 basis points higher than these official figures.

Schiffgold.com’s Michael Maharrey said on Wednesday that the latest CPI data was not the greatest and the government formula used to tally the numbers is understated. Maharrey and the economists at Peter Schiff’s blog believe the CPI is much higher. “It wasn’t all good news,” Maharrey stressed. “Food prices continued to skyrocket, rising 1.1% from June. Rents also rose.”

“And as I mention every time I talk about CPI, it’s even worse than these numbers suggest. This CPI uses a government formula that understates the actual rise in prices,” Maharrey added. “Based on the CPI formula used in the 1970s, CPI remains in the 17% range — a historically high number.”

U.S. president Joe Biden discussed the CPI data as well and remarked that new laws and semiconductors manufacturing based in America boosted the country’s economic activity. “Last year, one-third of core inflation was due to high prices for automobiles because of the shortage of semiconductors,” Biden said on Wednesday. “With the CHIPS and Science Law boosting our efforts to make semiconductors right here at home, America is back leading the way.”

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analyst, Bankrate, Bitcoin (BTC), Bureau of Labor Statistics, Core Inflation, CPI, CPI report, Crypto Prices, data, DOW, economics, Economist, equities, fake CPI, fake data, Gold Prices, Greg McBride, inflation, Inflation Red Hot, Joe Biden, Joe Biden statement, Michael Maharrey, Peter Schiff, schiffgold.com, Stefan Rust, stock indexes, stocks, the fed, Truflation, Truflation Index, United States Inflation, US Inflation rises

What do you think about the CPI data for July? What do you think about the critics and statistics that say true inflation in the U.S. is much higher than what’s being reported? Let us know your thoughts about this subject in the comments section below.

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Jamie Redman

Jamie Redman is the News Lead at Bitcoin.com News and a financial tech journalist living in Florida. Redman has been an active member of the cryptocurrency community since 2011. He has a passion for Bitcoin, open-source code, and decentralized applications. Since September 2015, Redman has written more than 5,700 articles for Bitcoin.com News about the disruptive protocols emerging today.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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US Inflation Remains Scorching Hot, Jumping To 9.1% In June — White House Says CPI Data Is Already ‘Out-Of-Date’

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US Inflation Remains Scorching Hot, Jumping To 9.1% In June — White House Says CPI Data Is Already ‘Out-Of-Date’

According to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, U.S. inflation remains scorching hot as it has risen at the fastest yearly rate since 1981. June’s CPI data reflected a 9.1% year-over-year increase, even though a number of bureaucrats and economists thought May’s CPI data would be the record peak.

US Inflation Continues to Print Perpetual New Highs

Inflation continues to climb higher in America as the CPI numbers for June show another monthly increase. “Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 9.1 percent before seasonal adjustment,” the Bureau of Labor Statistics report notes. “The increase was broad-based, with the indexes for gasoline, shelter, and food being the largest contributors.” The inflation increase in June was yet another record-setting spike as it rose at the fastest pace since November 1981.

After the CPI report was published, U.S. president Joe Biden’s administration addressed the subject. The White House also claimed that the data is already out of date and the CPI report does not reflect “the full impact of nearly 30 days of decreases in gas prices.” In fact, the White House says that “core inflation” has dropped for the third month in a row.

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“Importantly, today’s report shows that what economists call annual ‘core inflation’ came down for the third month in a row, and is the first month since last year where the annual ‘core’ inflation rate is below six percent,” Biden’s statement detailed on Wednesday.

The U.S. Consumer Price Index report published on Monday shows a jump to 9.1% after economists expected it to come in at 8.8%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

According to Bloomberg, the news publication surveyed a number of economists and they expected the CPI data for June to come in at 8.8%. With a massive inflation print, it is now assumed that the U.S. Federal Reserve will have to be “even more aggressive.” In addition to the CPI numbers that came in on Wednesday morning, the day before, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on an image that had shown “fake” CPI data. The fake CPI number that was seen on social media said the CPI data would come in at 10.2%.

Stocks, Gold, and Crypto Markets Shudder After US Inflation Report Published

After the real report was released, the stock market saw significant losses as the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 400 points. Every major stock index is down and the price of bitcoin (BTC) slipped from the $19,900 region to a July 13 low of $18,906 per unit. Precious metals also dropped in value as silver dipped by 0.58%, and gold slid by 0.41% on Wednesday.

Inflation adjusted earnings have been negative during 88% of Biden’s presidency.

Next month, real earnings will be down for a 16th consecutive month: the longest stretch on record pic.twitter.com/JO0v7ju04S

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) July 13, 2022

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While the real CPI numbers were discussed on Wednesday morning, many people tried to assimilate what the numbers would be without food and gasoline added to the equation. However, critics of these kinds of statements explained how they were foolish.

“Anyone saying ‘If you remove food and fuel from the CPI, inflation really isn’t that bad,’ try to live without food and gas for a month and let me know how that goes,” Washington Times columnist Tim Young wrote on Twitter.

What do you think about the record-setting CPI data that was published on Wednesday? Let us know your thoughts about this subject in the comments section below.

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Jamie Redman

Jamie Redman is the News Lead at Bitcoin.com News and a financial tech journalist living in Florida. Redman has been an active member of the cryptocurrency community since 2011. He has a passion for Bitcoin, open-source code, and decentralized applications. Since September 2015, Redman has written more than 5,700 articles for Bitcoin.com News about the disruptive protocols emerging today.

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Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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Goldman Sachs Downgrades Coinbase To Sell Rating — Analyst Says Firm Needs To Make Cost Base Reductions

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Goldman Sachs Downgrades Coinbase To Sell Rating — Analyst Says Firm Needs To Make Cost Base Reductions

Analysts from the multinational investment bank and financial services company Goldman Sachs Group Inc. have downgraded Coinbase Global Inc. in a note to investors on Monday. Today, Coinbase shares are down 83.68% from the stock’s all-time high (ATH) in November 2021. Goldman analyst William Nance explained that his group of market strategists believes “Coinbase will need to make substantial reductions in its cost base.”

Goldman Downgrades Coinbase, COIN Shares Down 83% From Price High

Coinbase shares have suffered during the bear market as many crypto company stocks have lost considerable value during the last few months. When Coinbase first went public on April 14, 2021, the company’s shares were listed on Nasdaq via a direct listing under the ticker COIN. At the time, the Coinbase initial public offering (IPO) reference price was set at $250, and investors saw the crypto exchange’s listing as a “watershed” moment.

Following the stock coming out of the gate 14 months ago, amid that timeframe COIN tapped an ATH at $342.98 per share on November 12, 2021. Two days prior, bitcoin (BTC) reached its lifetime price high at $69K per unit. While BTC lost 70% over the next eight months, COIN has lost 83.68% since that time. On Monday, in a report published by Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs’ analysts weighed in on Coinbase shares and downgraded the stock to a sell rating.

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In a note to investors, the investment bank’s lead research analyst for payments and digital assets sectors, William Nance, made a statement about the downgrade. “We believe Coinbase will need to make substantial reductions in its cost base in order to stem the resulting cash burn as retail trading activity dries up,” Nance explained. Nance has given ratings on a number of other firms recently like Western Union, Fiserv, Fidelity National Information Services, and Shift4 Payments.

Bonds Under Pressure, Goldman Says Coinbase ‘Faces a Difficult Choice’

Moreover, in the report, Bloomberg’s Subrat Patnaik and Matt Turner detailed that equity investors “aren’t the only ones souring on Coinbase.” “The firm’s bonds have also come under pressure, with its senior unsecured bonds maturing in 2031 among the biggest decliners in the U.S. high-yield market on Monday,” Patnaik and Turner wrote. Nance further added that the cryptocurrency exchange was facing some difficult decisions going forward.

“Coinbase faces a difficult choice between shareholder dilution and significant reductions in effective employee compensation, which could impact talent retention,” Nance remarked.

The Goldman downgrade follows the company laying off 18% of its staff, and Coinbase also combined the firm’s Coinbase Pro (exchange) product with a user’s Coinbase account. The company recently launched a derivatives product (nano bitcoin futures) via the Coinbase Derivatives Exchange. Coinbase has faced a number of lawsuits since the IPO, including two separate class-action lawsuits over the once-stable coin GYEN and Terra’s UST token.

What do you think about Goldman Sachs’ analyst William Nance downgrading Coinbase shares to a sell rating? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.

Jamie Redman

Jamie Redman is the News Lead at Bitcoin.com News and a financial tech journalist living in Florida. Redman has been an active member of the cryptocurrency community since 2011. He has a passion for Bitcoin, open-source code, and decentralized applications. Since September 2015, Redman has written more than 5,000 articles for Bitcoin.com News about the disruptive protocols emerging today.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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Plan B’s Stock-To-Flow Price Model Denounced By Vitalik Buterin, Says Model Can Be ‘Harmful’

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Plan B’s Stock-To-Flow Price Model Denounced By Vitalik Buterin, Says Model Can Be ‘Harmful’

For a few years now, the pseudonymous creator of the popular stock-to-flow (S2F) bitcoin price model, Plan B, has become a very well known bitcoin influencer gathering 1.8 million Twitter followers. However, after the S2F price model didn’t come to fruition and dropped well below the price targets in 2022, Plan B and his price model have been criticized a great deal. On Tuesday, Ethereum’s co-founder Vitalik Buterin denounced the S2F price model and said “financial models that give people a false sense of certainty” can be “harmful,” and they deserve to be mocked.

Plan B’s Stock-to-Flow Bitcoin Price Model Is Not as Popular as It Once Was

A few specific price models have been mocked this week as people have noticed that bitcoin’s price has not followed the “Rainbow” price indicator and Plan B’s famous stock-to-flow price model. The pseudonymous creator of the S2F model caught the attention of the crypto community years ago on March 22, 2019, when he published an editorial called “Modeling Bitcoin’s Value with Scarcity.” When things got bullish in late 2020 and into 2021, Plan B’s statements and price model were revered and at times, the analyst’s predictions were on point.

In January 2021, bitcoin’s (BTC) USD value was seemingly following the S2F model and at the time Plan B said: “bitcoin stock-to-flow model [is] on track… like clockwork.” Toward the end of June 2021, Plan B gave an update on his “worst case scenario for 2021.” The analyst said: “Bitcoin is below $34K, triggered by Elon Musk’s energy FUD and China’s mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June, and possibly July. My worst case scenario for 2021 (price/on-chain based): Aug>47K, Sep>43K, Oct>63K, Nov>98K, Dec>135K.”

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Prediction is hard, especially the future. EMH even says predicting financial markets is impossible. For who is still interested in models, here are 5 BTC valuation models:

– Time (log regression, rainbow) and S2F too high

– UTXO/TX too low

– Difficulty/Mining_cost currently best pic.twitter.com/9FYCbWmbp7

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) June 21, 2022

After publishing his “worst case scenario” predictions, August, September, and October seemingly reached the targets Plan B forecasted. However, while BTC hit an all-time high at $69K per unit on November 10, it did not make it near the $98K range and December was not even close. Fast forward to the end of 2022’s first quarter and BTC’s price continued to slide lower, and presently, the leading crypto asset’s price compared to the S2F chart is way off the radar. Plan B and his price model have been criticized in the past and by well known BTC advocates. For instance, the owner of Upstream Data, Steve Barbour, once tweeted:

The S2F model is the used car salesman approach to memeing bitcoin to the moon.

Buterin Says ‘Stock-to-Flow Is Really Not Looking Good Now’

In more recent times, Plan B’s model has been mocked and ridiculed more fiercely. Ethereum advocate Anthony Sassano tweeted about the S2F model and Plan B’s predictions. “The ‘Stock to flow’ model is such an epic failure that Plan B should just delete his account,” Sassano said. “He won’t though because he sadly still has 1.8 million followers who eat up all of his hopium garbage on a daily basis.” The tweet then got the attention of the Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin who also commented on the subject.

“Stock-to-flow is really not looking good now,” Buterin said retweeting Sassano’s statement. “I know it’s impolite to gloat and all that, but I think financial models that give people a false sense of certainty and predestination that number-will-go-up are harmful and deserve all the mockery they get. Remember who supported S2F and who mocked it even back when it looked like it was accurately describing the trendline,” the Ethereum co-founder added.

Plan B Responds, Analyst’s Fans Tells Him to ‘Keep Posting — I Enjoy the Perspective You Bring’

Plan B responded to Buterin’s statement by retweeting his Tweet on Tuesday with some criticism toward “failed projects.”

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“After a crash, some people are looking for scapegoats for their failed projects or wrong investment decisions,” Plan B said. “Not only newbies but [also] ‘leaders’ fall victim to blaming others and playing the victim. Remember those who blame others and those who stand strong after a crash.” Plan B also retweeted an individual who wrote that “Ethereum’s ‘ultrasound’ tokenomics are entirely based on S2F.” Plan B also explained later in the day that he shares his analysis and charts free of charge.

“So I share my analysis and charts FOR FREE,” Plan B wrote on Tuesday. “Never told anybody to buy or what/when/how/howmuch to buy. Now covid, China ban, Russia war and inflation tank all assets including bitcoin… and somehow some weeners blame their investment decisions on me? Lame.”

She’s a 10 but according to PlanB

— cryptograffiti (@cryptograffiti) June 21, 2022

As mentioned above, S2F has been targeted for being wrong, but the “Rainbow” price indicator has also been mocked during the last two weeks. In a similar fashion, the Rainbow chart has not contained BTC’s price but some people said they could add a few extra lines of purple to make the chart work again. “I’ve created a new and improved model for the rainbow chart,” the Twitter account @Levelsdennis tweeted.

Meanwhile, a number of bitcoiners sympathized with Plan B and told him to keep up his work. “Indeed. Keep posting pls – I enjoy the perspective you bring,” the popular Twitter account with 1 million followers and dubbed @BTC_archive told the pseudonymous analyst.

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analyst, Anthony Sassano, Bitcoin, Bitcoin Price, BTC advocates, BTC’s price, Ethereum, Ethereum advocate, Ethereum Co-Founder, Ethereum Vitalik Buterin, Forecasts, hopium garbage, Plan B, Plan B S2F, Predictions, pseudonymous creator, statements, Steve Barbour, stock-to-flow, stock-to-flow (S2F), Twitter, ultrasound’ tokenomics, Vitalik Buterin, worst case scenario

What do you think about the recent criticisms about Plan B’s stock-to-flow bitcoin price model? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.

Jamie Redman

Jamie Redman is the News Lead at Bitcoin.com News and a financial tech journalist living in Florida. Redman has been an active member of the cryptocurrency community since 2011. He has a passion for Bitcoin, open-source code, and decentralized applications. Since September 2015, Redman has written more than 5,000 articles for Bitcoin.com News about the disruptive protocols emerging today.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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